Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and ECMWF shows Warsaw likely peaking near 24–26 °C on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, after a cooler front crossed the region earlier in the week. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 23 °C and 25 °C close behind due to typical ensemble spread of 1–2 °C in 48-hour forecasts and sensitivity to exact cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Local factors such as Warsaw’s urban heat island and the precise siting of the official Chopin Airport station can nudge readings by 0.5–1 °C, while climatological August maxima average 23–25 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these tightly bunched outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 13 августа?
24°C 42%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
42%
25°C
29%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C или выше
1%
24°C 42%
25°C 29%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$33 Объем
<1%
21°C
$380 Объем
1%
22°C
$289 Объем
6%
23°C
$172 Объем
24%
24°C
$422 Объем
42%
25°C
$252 Объем
29%
26°C
$17 Объем
5%
27°C
$28 Объем
2%
28°C
$12 Объем
2%
29°C
$31 Объем
1%
30°C или выше
$185 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and ECMWF shows Warsaw likely peaking near 24–26 °C on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, after a cooler front crossed the region earlier in the week. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 23 °C and 25 °C close behind due to typical ensemble spread of 1–2 °C in 48-hour forecasts and sensitivity to exact cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Local factors such as Warsaw’s urban heat island and the precise siting of the official Chopin Airport station can nudge readings by 0.5–1 °C, while climatological August maxima average 23–25 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these tightly bunched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,822Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and ECMWF shows Warsaw likely peaking near 24–26 °C on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, after a cooler front crossed the region earlier in the week. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 23 °C and 25 °C close behind due to typical ensemble spread of 1–2 °C in 48-hour forecasts and sensitivity to exact cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Local factors such as Warsaw’s urban heat island and the precise siting of the official Chopin Airport station can nudge readings by 0.5–1 °C, while climatological August maxima average 23–25 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these tightly bunched outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,822Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources like the GFS and ECMWF shows Warsaw likely peaking near 24–26 °C on August 13 under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, after a cooler front crossed the region earlier in the week. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with 23 °C and 25 °C close behind due to typical ensemble spread of 1–2 °C in 48-hour forecasts and sensitivity to exact cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Local factors such as Warsaw’s urban heat island and the precise siting of the official Chopin Airport station can nudge readings by 0.5–1 °C, while climatological August maxima average 23–25 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these tightly bunched outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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