Current numerical weather prediction models and consensus guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daytime maximum on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of peak summer. This setup favors readings slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 30–31°C, with ensemble spreads clustering tightly in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. Limited variability from boundary-layer mixing or light winds keeps higher thresholds like 35°C less probable, while the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C and 34°C reflects traders’ assessment of official station measurements under these stable conditions. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns ahead of peak heating will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 13 августа?
33°C 56%
34°C 36%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
36%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 36%
32°C 7%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
56%
34°C
36%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and consensus guidance from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service position 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daytime maximum on August 13, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of peak summer. This setup favors readings slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 30–31°C, with ensemble spreads clustering tightly in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius. Limited variability from boundary-layer mixing or light winds keeps higher thresholds like 35°C less probable, while the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C and 34°C reflects traders’ assessment of official station measurements under these stable conditions. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns ahead of peak heating will be the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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