Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate a cooling trend following peak temperatures near 33°C on August 14, with Amsterdam's maximum on the 15th expected around 26°C under increased cloud cover and moderating winds. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 60%, reflecting ensemble guidance on diurnal heating limited by Atlantic air advection and typical late-summer boundary layer conditions. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, though recent dry, warm patterns elevated baselines before the shift. Short-range numerical weather prediction shows low divergence for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon maxima and official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 15 августа?
26°C 35%
25°C 28%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
12%
25°C
28%
26°C
35%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C или выше
1%
26°C 35%
25°C 28%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$362 Объем
<1%
21°C
$779 Объем
1%
22°C
$362 Объем
1%
23°C
$707 Объем
7%
24°C
$842 Объем
12%
25°C
$805 Объем
28%
26°C
$1,113 Объем
35%
27°C
$877 Объем
18%
28°C
$390 Объем
4%
29°C
$47 Объем
2%
30°C или выше
$10 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate a cooling trend following peak temperatures near 33°C on August 14, with Amsterdam's maximum on the 15th expected around 26°C under increased cloud cover and moderating winds. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 60%, reflecting ensemble guidance on diurnal heating limited by Atlantic air advection and typical late-summer boundary layer conditions. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, though recent dry, warm patterns elevated baselines before the shift. Short-range numerical weather prediction shows low divergence for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon maxima and official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$6,294Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate a cooling trend following peak temperatures near 33°C on August 14, with Amsterdam's maximum on the 15th expected around 26°C under increased cloud cover and moderating winds. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 60%, reflecting ensemble guidance on diurnal heating limited by Atlantic air advection and typical late-summer boundary layer conditions. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, though recent dry, warm patterns elevated baselines before the shift. Short-range numerical weather prediction shows low divergence for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon maxima and official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,294Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office indicate a cooling trend following peak temperatures near 33°C on August 14, with Amsterdam's maximum on the 15th expected around 26°C under increased cloud cover and moderating winds. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 25–26°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 60%, reflecting ensemble guidance on diurnal heating limited by Atlantic air advection and typical late-summer boundary layer conditions. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, though recent dry, warm patterns elevated baselines before the shift. Short-range numerical weather prediction shows low divergence for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon maxima and official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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