**Market-implied odds have converged on 26°C as the highest temperature in London on August 15, 2026, reflecting near-certainty among traders.** This positioning stems from Met Office and BBC forecasts showing a daytime maximum of 27–28°C under sunny intervals and a gentle northeasterly breeze, following the fifth heatwave’s peak of 38.1°C at Kew Gardens on August 13. Early observations on the 15th, including readings near 21–25°C by mid-morning, align with models indicating no further intensification. The cooling Atlantic influence and lack of model disagreement have eliminated higher or lower outcomes. A late-afternoon surge exceeding forecast guidance or a station-specific measurement revision could still alter the final recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given the stable synoptic pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 15 августа?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$166,953 Объем
$166,953 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$166,953 Объем
$166,953 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds have converged on 26°C as the highest temperature in London on August 15, 2026, reflecting near-certainty among traders.** This positioning stems from Met Office and BBC forecasts showing a daytime maximum of 27–28°C under sunny intervals and a gentle northeasterly breeze, following the fifth heatwave’s peak of 38.1°C at Kew Gardens on August 13. Early observations on the 15th, including readings near 21–25°C by mid-morning, align with models indicating no further intensification. The cooling Atlantic influence and lack of model disagreement have eliminated higher or lower outcomes. A late-afternoon surge exceeding forecast guidance or a station-specific measurement revision could still alter the final recorded high, though such shifts appear improbable given the stable synoptic pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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