Weather models from agencies like Météo France project an overnight low near 19°C in Paris on August 16, reflecting limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies following reduced daytime heating on August 15 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend. This aligns with climatological August averages of 15–18°C for minimum temperatures and supports the market's leading 39% implied probability for exactly 19°C. Recent European heat dome dissipation and forecast consensus on light winds further anchor probabilities around 18–20°C outcomes, though model spreads introduce uncertainty ahead of final official readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 16 августа?
19°C 41%
18°C или ниже 27%
20°C 22%
21°C 8%
$11,856 Объем
$11,856 Объем
18°C или ниже
27%
19°C
41%
20°C
22%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C или ниже 27%
20°C 22%
21°C 8%
$11,856 Объем
$11,856 Объем
18°C или ниже
27%
19°C
41%
20°C
22%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather models from agencies like Météo France project an overnight low near 19°C in Paris on August 16, reflecting limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies following reduced daytime heating on August 15 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend. This aligns with climatological August averages of 15–18°C for minimum temperatures and supports the market's leading 39% implied probability for exactly 19°C. Recent European heat dome dissipation and forecast consensus on light winds further anchor probabilities around 18–20°C outcomes, though model spreads introduce uncertainty ahead of final official readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы