Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows in Miami near 81–82°F on August 16 under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and typical summer humidity, aligning with the market's concentration on 80–83°F outcomes. These conditions reflect standard late-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 78–80°F but recent observations show slightly elevated readings due to minimal cloud cover and heat retention. No significant frontal systems or tropical influences are expected to alter steering patterns or promote cooling before resolution, though model runs can shift with updated moisture or wind data. Trader consensus thus favors the narrow 80–83°F range as the most probable based on current guidance and historical norms.