Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 29°C high for August 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered rains and persistent cloud cover expected to moderate daytime peaks. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–31°C because monsoon-driven convection and variable rainfall timing introduce uncertainty in maximum temperatures, while urban heat effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally under partial clearing. Recent model guidance shows limited intensification potential due to high humidity and weak steering winds, keeping extremes above 32°C or below 28°C unlikely. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 16 августа?
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C или выше
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 15%
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
33%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C или выше
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a 29°C high for August 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered rains and persistent cloud cover expected to moderate daytime peaks. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 29–31°C because monsoon-driven convection and variable rainfall timing introduce uncertainty in maximum temperatures, while urban heat effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally under partial clearing. Recent model guidance shows limited intensification potential due to high humidity and weak steering winds, keeping extremes above 32°C or below 28°C unlikely. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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