Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 14 августа?
33°C 32%
31°C 28%
32°C 28%
34°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
28%
32°C
28%
33°C
32%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
31°C 28%
32°C 28%
34°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$167 Объем
<1%
27°C
$13 Объем
<1%
28°C
$12 Объем
2%
29°C
$3 Объем
6%
30°C
$30 Объем
9%
31°C
$52 Объем
28%
32°C
$70 Объем
28%
33°C
$19 Объем
32%
34°C
$18 Объем
10%
35°C
$7 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$22 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$412Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$412Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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