Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a likely daytime maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions with southwesterly flow, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers that limit extreme heating. This aligns with climatological averages of 32–34°C highs and current guidance showing partly cloudy to overcast skies moderating solar insolation. Trader positioning favors 33°C as the mode, followed by 34°C and 32°C, reflecting model consensus ranges and uncertainty from variable precipitation timing or intensity shifts. Short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 16 августа?
33°C 42%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a likely daytime maximum near 33°C in Shenzhen on August 16, driven by typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions with southwesterly flow, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers that limit extreme heating. This aligns with climatological averages of 32–34°C highs and current guidance showing partly cloudy to overcast skies moderating solar insolation. Trader positioning favors 33°C as the mode, followed by 34°C and 32°C, reflecting model consensus ranges and uncertainty from variable precipitation timing or intensity shifts. Short-range updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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