Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical subtropical summer conditions for August 17, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and expected showers, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 27–28°C. Trader consensus around these levels reflects stable steering patterns and a lack of strong cold advection or clear skies that could drive deeper cooling to 25°C or below. Differentiation between 26°C and 28°C hinges on variables like cloud cover thickness, which traps heat, versus wind shifts that enhance mixing or allow brief radiational drops; seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal warmth further anchor probabilities away from extremes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 17 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 17 августа?
28°C 47%
27°C 33%
26°C 25%
29°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
25%
27°C
33%
28°C
34%
29°C
18%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 33%
26°C 25%
29°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$22 Объем
1%
24°C
$5 Объем
1%
25°C
$22 Объем
8%
26°C
$14 Объем
25%
27°C
$0 Объем
33%
28°C
$19 Объем
34%
29°C
$0 Объем
18%
30°C
$0 Объем
9%
31°C
$5 Объем
1%
32°C
$5 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$400 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical subtropical summer conditions for August 17, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and expected showers, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 27–28°C. Trader consensus around these levels reflects stable steering patterns and a lack of strong cold advection or clear skies that could drive deeper cooling to 25°C or below. Differentiation between 26°C and 28°C hinges on variables like cloud cover thickness, which traps heat, versus wind shifts that enhance mixing or allow brief radiational drops; seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal warmth further anchor probabilities away from extremes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$492Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical subtropical summer conditions for August 17, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and expected showers, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 27–28°C. Trader consensus around these levels reflects stable steering patterns and a lack of strong cold advection or clear skies that could drive deeper cooling to 25°C or below. Differentiation between 26°C and 28°C hinges on variables like cloud cover thickness, which traps heat, versus wind shifts that enhance mixing or allow brief radiational drops; seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal warmth further anchor probabilities away from extremes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$492Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate typical subtropical summer conditions for August 17, with overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity and expected showers, supporting minimum temperatures clustered near 27–28°C. Trader consensus around these levels reflects stable steering patterns and a lack of strong cold advection or clear skies that could drive deeper cooling to 25°C or below. Differentiation between 26°C and 28°C hinges on variables like cloud cover thickness, which traps heat, versus wind shifts that enhance mixing or allow brief radiational drops; seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal warmth further anchor probabilities away from extremes. Updated model runs and HKO briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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