Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate an overnight low of 26°C on August 15 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and light showers that suppress radiative cooling under typical summer conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects stable short-range model runs, historical August baselines around 25-27°C, and the urban heat island effect at official stations that often prevents dips below this threshold. Clearer skies or a sudden wind shift could allow modest additional cooling to 25°C, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal norms make larger deviations unlikely before final measurements resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
26°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$43,322 Объем
$43,322 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$43,322 Объем
$43,322 Объем
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate an overnight low of 26°C on August 15 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-95%, and light showers that suppress radiative cooling under typical summer conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects stable short-range model runs, historical August baselines around 25-27°C, and the urban heat island effect at official stations that often prevents dips below this threshold. Clearer skies or a sudden wind shift could allow modest additional cooling to 25°C, though current atmospheric stability and seasonal norms make larger deviations unlikely before final measurements resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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