Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 25–26°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with late-summer norms of 24–27°C lows amid high humidity. These conditions, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moderate atmospheric stability rather than intense cooling fronts, position 26°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C. Historical August baselines and model consensus support this range, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid weather shifts before resolution. Traders weigh these data against typical diurnal ranges and precipitation impacts on overnight cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 августа?
26°C 55%
25°C 31%
27°C 9%
24°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
31%
26°C
55%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
1%
26°C 55%
25°C 31%
27°C 9%
24°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$543 Объем
<1%
20°C
$291 Объем
<1%
21°C
$222 Объем
<1%
22°C
$492 Объем
<1%
23°C
$145 Объем
<1%
24°C
$200 Объем
4%
25°C
$1,087 Объем
31%
26°C
$1,815 Объем
55%
27°C
$1,250 Объем
9%
28°C
$495 Объем
2%
29°C или выше
$289 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 25–26°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with late-summer norms of 24–27°C lows amid high humidity. These conditions, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moderate atmospheric stability rather than intense cooling fronts, position 26°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C. Historical August baselines and model consensus support this range, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid weather shifts before resolution. Traders weigh these data against typical diurnal ranges and precipitation impacts on overnight cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$6,827Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 25–26°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with late-summer norms of 24–27°C lows amid high humidity. These conditions, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moderate atmospheric stability rather than intense cooling fronts, position 26°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C. Historical August baselines and model consensus support this range, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid weather shifts before resolution. Traders weigh these data against typical diurnal ranges and precipitation impacts on overnight cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,827Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 17 will likely reach 25–26°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with late-summer norms of 24–27°C lows amid high humidity. These conditions, driven by regional monsoon patterns and moderate atmospheric stability rather than intense cooling fronts, position 26°C as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C. Historical August baselines and model consensus support this range, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid weather shifts before resolution. Traders weigh these data against typical diurnal ranges and precipitation impacts on overnight cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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