Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 16 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover from subtropical monsoon patterns, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Thunderstorms and elevated dew points reduce temperature drops, while urban heat island effects in the city further moderate lows compared to rural surroundings. Historical August averages show typical minima around 25°C, with variability tied to frontal passages or clearer skies that could allow slight additional cooling toward 24°C or hold values near 27°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minimal divergence ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 16 августа?
26°C 47%
25°C 39%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
47%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 39%
27°C 6%
24°C 4%
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
47%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 16 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover from subtropical monsoon patterns, and limited radiative cooling overnight. Thunderstorms and elevated dew points reduce temperature drops, while urban heat island effects in the city further moderate lows compared to rural surroundings. Historical August averages show typical minima around 25°C, with variability tied to frontal passages or clearer skies that could allow slight additional cooling toward 24°C or hold values near 27°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these outcomes because ensemble guidance shows minimal divergence ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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