Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF positions Istanbul’s August 18 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30 °C (40.5 %) and 31 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 29–30 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and northerly flow that moderates humidity while limiting extreme heat. Current surface analyses indicate stable, mostly sunny conditions with light winds, reducing the chance of rapid warming or cooling. Traders appear to weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing as the main uncertainty, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical and forecast mean rather than extremes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 18 августа?
31°C 31%
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
32°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
29%
31°C
31%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 31%
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
32°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$174 Объем
<1%
25°C
$10 Объем
2%
26°C
$15 Объем
4%
27°C
$58 Объем
8%
28°C
$36 Объем
8%
29°C
$29 Объем
25%
30°C
$174 Объем
29%
31°C
$102 Объем
31%
32°C
$65 Объем
10%
33°C
$35 Объем
4%
34°C or higher
$15 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF positions Istanbul’s August 18 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30 °C (40.5 %) and 31 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 29–30 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and northerly flow that moderates humidity while limiting extreme heat. Current surface analyses indicate stable, mostly sunny conditions with light winds, reducing the chance of rapid warming or cooling. Traders appear to weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing as the main uncertainty, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical and forecast mean rather than extremes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$714Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF positions Istanbul’s August 18 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30 °C (40.5 %) and 31 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 29–30 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and northerly flow that moderates humidity while limiting extreme heat. Current surface analyses indicate stable, mostly sunny conditions with light winds, reducing the chance of rapid warming or cooling. Traders appear to weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing as the main uncertainty, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical and forecast mean rather than extremes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$714Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF positions Istanbul’s August 18 high near 29–31 °C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 30 °C (40.5 %) and 31 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 29–30 °C under typical subtropical high pressure and northerly flow that moderates humidity while limiting extreme heat. Current surface analyses indicate stable, mostly sunny conditions with light winds, reducing the chance of rapid warming or cooling. Traders appear to weigh small model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing as the main uncertainty, keeping probabilities concentrated around the historical and forecast mean rather than extremes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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