Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to drive cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila through August 18–19, according to PAGASA outlooks. These conditions reduce solar insolation and moderate peak heating, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 25–29 °C. Official extended forecasts list a 25–29 °C range for August 18, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28 °C (40 %) and 29 °C (27 %). Typical August climatology shows 30–31 °C highs, but the current monsoon regime has suppressed maxima in recent days; any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 30 °C, though model consensus favors continued suppression. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite trends over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 18 августа?
28°C 40%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
40%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C или выше
4%
28°C 40%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
20%
28°C
40%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C или выше
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to drive cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila through August 18–19, according to PAGASA outlooks. These conditions reduce solar insolation and moderate peak heating, positioning daily maximum temperatures near 25–29 °C. Official extended forecasts list a 25–29 °C range for August 18, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28 °C (40 %) and 29 °C (27 %). Typical August climatology shows 30–31 °C highs, but the current monsoon regime has suppressed maxima in recent days; any brief clearing could allow brief spikes toward 30 °C, though model consensus favors continued suppression. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite trends over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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