Recent short-range forecasts for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 10–11°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 12°C, but current model consensus points to enhanced southerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime warming, keeping peaks below seasonal norms. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet local ensemble guidance shows reduced spread around 10°C given persistent marine influences and light winds typical of the region’s coastal setting. Resolution depends on official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport; any shift in steering patterns or clearer skies could nudge the high toward 11–12°C, though such scenarios currently carry lower implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 16 августа?
10°C 65%
11°C 22%
9°C 12%
12°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
12%
10°C
65%
11°C
22%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 65%
11°C 22%
9°C 12%
12°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
4°C or below
$223 Объем
<1%
5°C
$211 Объем
<1%
6°C
$280 Объем
<1%
7°C
$65 Объем
<1%
8°C
$344 Объем
2%
9°C
$1,317 Объем
12%
10°C
$2,112 Объем
65%
11°C
$778 Объем
22%
12°C
$360 Объем
4%
13°C
$86 Объем
1%
14°C or higher
$23 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 10–11°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 12°C, but current model consensus points to enhanced southerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime warming, keeping peaks below seasonal norms. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet local ensemble guidance shows reduced spread around 10°C given persistent marine influences and light winds typical of the region’s coastal setting. Resolution depends on official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport; any shift in steering patterns or clearer skies could nudge the high toward 11–12°C, though such scenarios currently carry lower implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,596Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 10–11°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 12°C, but current model consensus points to enhanced southerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime warming, keeping peaks below seasonal norms. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet local ensemble guidance shows reduced spread around 10°C given persistent marine influences and light winds typical of the region’s coastal setting. Resolution depends on official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport; any shift in steering patterns or clearer skies could nudge the high toward 11–12°C, though such scenarios currently carry lower implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,596Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Wellington indicate a daily maximum near 10–11°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 12°C, but current model consensus points to enhanced southerly flow and increased cloud cover limiting daytime warming, keeping peaks below seasonal norms. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures overall, yet local ensemble guidance shows reduced spread around 10°C given persistent marine influences and light winds typical of the region’s coastal setting. Resolution depends on official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport; any shift in steering patterns or clearer skies could nudge the high toward 11–12°C, though such scenarios currently carry lower implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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