Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 17 will most likely reach 31°C, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% for 32°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover expected from regional pressure patterns, support this range, while urban heat effects in the city center could add slight variability. Ensemble predictions show consensus around these values with typical uncertainty ranges of ±1°C, and no major weather systems are poised to alter the trajectory before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and historical mid-August baselines, where similar setups have produced peaks near 31°C, though shifts in incoming data could adjust probabilities ahead of the daily high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 августа?
31°C 55%
30°C 20%
32°C 20%
29°C 4%
$17,408 Объем
$17,408 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
20%
31°C
55%
32°C
20%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 55%
30°C 20%
32°C 20%
29°C 4%
$17,408 Объем
$17,408 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
20%
31°C
55%
32°C
20%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 17 will most likely reach 31°C, aligning with the market's leading 55% implied probability for that outcome and 19.5% for 32°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover expected from regional pressure patterns, support this range, while urban heat effects in the city center could add slight variability. Ensemble predictions show consensus around these values with typical uncertainty ranges of ±1°C, and no major weather systems are poised to alter the trajectory before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and historical mid-August baselines, where similar setups have produced peaks near 31°C, though shifts in incoming data could adjust probabilities ahead of the daily high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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