Recent China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on August 18, 2026, with thundershowers and persistent moisture from the East China Sea expected to enhance evaporative cooling and limit insolation, anchoring the leading 37.5% market-implied odds on that outcome. Mid-August climatology centers around 30.8–32°C highs amid typical subtropical humidity of 70–80%, while stable steering patterns and lack of subtropical ridge intensification reduce upside potential above 33°C. Traders are watching the next model updates in the 48-hour window for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing that could alter resolution within official observation thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 августа?
31°C 38%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
29°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
24%
31°C
38%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 24%
32°C 22%
29°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$314 Объем
<1%
27°C
$18 Объем
<1%
28°C
$115 Объем
2%
29°C
$587 Объем
6%
30°C
$122 Объем
24%
31°C
$607 Объем
38%
32°C
$40 Объем
22%
33°C
$82 Объем
6%
34°C
$54 Объем
2%
35°C
$12 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$27 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on August 18, 2026, with thundershowers and persistent moisture from the East China Sea expected to enhance evaporative cooling and limit insolation, anchoring the leading 37.5% market-implied odds on that outcome. Mid-August climatology centers around 30.8–32°C highs amid typical subtropical humidity of 70–80%, while stable steering patterns and lack of subtropical ridge intensification reduce upside potential above 33°C. Traders are watching the next model updates in the 48-hour window for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing that could alter resolution within official observation thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,978Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on August 18, 2026, with thundershowers and persistent moisture from the East China Sea expected to enhance evaporative cooling and limit insolation, anchoring the leading 37.5% market-implied odds on that outcome. Mid-August climatology centers around 30.8–32°C highs amid typical subtropical humidity of 70–80%, while stable steering patterns and lack of subtropical ridge intensification reduce upside potential above 33°C. Traders are watching the next model updates in the 48-hour window for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing that could alter resolution within official observation thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,978Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on August 18, 2026, with thundershowers and persistent moisture from the East China Sea expected to enhance evaporative cooling and limit insolation, anchoring the leading 37.5% market-implied odds on that outcome. Mid-August climatology centers around 30.8–32°C highs amid typical subtropical humidity of 70–80%, while stable steering patterns and lack of subtropical ridge intensification reduce upside potential above 33°C. Traders are watching the next model updates in the 48-hour window for any shifts in cloud cover or precipitation timing that could alter resolution within official observation thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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