Recent official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate Guangzhou highs of 36°C on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight cooling have supported heat accumulation, while afternoon convection may cap further rises. Historical mid-August averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors readings in the mid-30s Celsius over extremes, with 35°C and 37°C as secondary possibilities reflecting forecast uncertainty and potential steering influences from regional weather systems.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 13 августа?
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 18%
34°C 8%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C или выше
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 18%
34°C 8%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C или выше
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate Guangzhou highs of 36°C on August 13 under cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 36°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight cooling have supported heat accumulation, while afternoon convection may cap further rises. Historical mid-August averages near 32–33°C provide context, yet current model consensus favors readings in the mid-30s Celsius over extremes, with 35°C and 37°C as secondary possibilities reflecting forecast uncertainty and potential steering influences from regional weather systems.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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