Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17 points to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, and a daily high near 81–84°F at Central Park, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 82–87°F bins. These conditions reflect typical mid-August climatology, where the seasonal average high is 83°F, without strong warm advection, Bermuda High amplification, or significant moisture that could push readings into the upper 80s or 90s. Short-range ensembles show limited spread around this range, with any cloud cover or sea-breeze effects more likely to cap rather than elevate temperatures. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 17 августа?
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
75°F or below
$435 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$300 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$218 Объем
3%
80-81°F
$233 Объем
7%
82-83°F
$259 Объем
19%
84-85°F
$786 Объем
41%
86-87°F
$328 Объем
23%
88-89°F
$36 Объем
11%
90-91°F
$10 Объем
3%
92-93°F
$54 Объем
1%
94°F or higher
$287 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17 points to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, and a daily high near 81–84°F at Central Park, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 82–87°F bins. These conditions reflect typical mid-August climatology, where the seasonal average high is 83°F, without strong warm advection, Bermuda High amplification, or significant moisture that could push readings into the upper 80s or 90s. Short-range ensembles show limited spread around this range, with any cloud cover or sea-breeze effects more likely to cap rather than elevate temperatures. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Объем
$2,947Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17 points to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, and a daily high near 81–84°F at Central Park, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 82–87°F bins. These conditions reflect typical mid-August climatology, where the seasonal average high is 83°F, without strong warm advection, Bermuda High amplification, or significant moisture that could push readings into the upper 80s or 90s. Short-range ensembles show limited spread around this range, with any cloud cover or sea-breeze effects more likely to cap rather than elevate temperatures. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,947Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17 points to mostly sunny skies, light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, and a daily high near 81–84°F at Central Park, aligning with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 82–87°F bins. These conditions reflect typical mid-August climatology, where the seasonal average high is 83°F, without strong warm advection, Bermuda High amplification, or significant moisture that could push readings into the upper 80s or 90s. Short-range ensembles show limited spread around this range, with any cloud cover or sea-breeze effects more likely to cap rather than elevate temperatures. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will provide the final observational tiebreaker before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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