Latest numerical weather prediction models converge on a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C for São Paulo on 17 August, driven by a building subtropical ridge, light easterly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating after a cool start near 17 °C. This consensus, reinforced by an ongoing El Niño episode (WMO-assessed 80 % probability for June–August 2026) that favors above-normal temperatures across southeast Brazil, underpins the market’s concentration on the 29–31 °C band. Day-to-day model runs show limited spread, though modest uncertainty remains from boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection. Official INMET and global ensemble updates through the evening of 16 August will provide the final guidance before the market resolves on the verified 24-hour maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 17 августа?
30°C 38%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
32°C or higher 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
38%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 38%
31°C 26%
29°C 23%
32°C or higher 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$313 Объем
<1%
23°C
$313 Объем
<1%
24°C
$313 Объем
<1%
25°C
$96 Объем
<1%
26°C
$14 Объем
1%
27°C
$9 Объем
2%
28°C
$8 Объем
7%
29°C
$276 Объем
23%
30°C
$133 Объем
38%
31°C
$195 Объем
26%
32°C or higher
$22 Объем
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models converge on a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C for São Paulo on 17 August, driven by a building subtropical ridge, light easterly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating after a cool start near 17 °C. This consensus, reinforced by an ongoing El Niño episode (WMO-assessed 80 % probability for June–August 2026) that favors above-normal temperatures across southeast Brazil, underpins the market’s concentration on the 29–31 °C band. Day-to-day model runs show limited spread, though modest uncertainty remains from boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection. Official INMET and global ensemble updates through the evening of 16 August will provide the final guidance before the market resolves on the verified 24-hour maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Объем
$1,692Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models converge on a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C for São Paulo on 17 August, driven by a building subtropical ridge, light easterly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating after a cool start near 17 °C. This consensus, reinforced by an ongoing El Niño episode (WMO-assessed 80 % probability for June–August 2026) that favors above-normal temperatures across southeast Brazil, underpins the market’s concentration on the 29–31 °C band. Day-to-day model runs show limited spread, though modest uncertainty remains from boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection. Official INMET and global ensemble updates through the evening of 16 August will provide the final guidance before the market resolves on the verified 24-hour maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,692Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 9:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models converge on a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C for São Paulo on 17 August, driven by a building subtropical ridge, light easterly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating after a cool start near 17 °C. This consensus, reinforced by an ongoing El Niño episode (WMO-assessed 80 % probability for June–August 2026) that favors above-normal temperatures across southeast Brazil, underpins the market’s concentration on the 29–31 °C band. Day-to-day model runs show limited spread, though modest uncertainty remains from boundary-layer moisture or afternoon convection. Official INMET and global ensemble updates through the evening of 16 August will provide the final guidance before the market resolves on the verified 24-hour maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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