Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 16 августа?
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
23%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
26°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$253 Объем
<1%
23°C
$128 Объем
<1%
24°C
$401 Объем
1%
25°C
$587 Объем
4%
26°C
$716 Объем
16%
27°C
$3,285 Объем
23%
28°C
$1,718 Объем
33%
29°C
$448 Объем
24%
30°C
$497 Объем
5%
31°C
$138 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$344 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Объем
$8,515Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,515Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts places São Paulo’s August 16 maximum near 28 °C under scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, supporting the narrow clustering of market-implied odds around 27–29 °C. Subtropical high pressure and dry winter air mass limit moisture and cloud build-up, yet variable afternoon insolation and urban heat-island effects can shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of maximum solar heating. Official observations from INMET stations will resolve the outcome once the daily maximum is recorded, with any late-day clearing or brief sea-breeze influence introducing the remaining uncertainty among closely matched probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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