Monsoon-season cloud cover and light rainfall expected across Karachi on August 17 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds highest for a 32°C maximum (56.5%), consistent with Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather guidance showing highs near the 31–33°C range under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions reduce daytime solar heating compared with clearer pre-monsoon periods, aligning with climatological August averages of 31–32°C and recent model consensus that has held steady without signals of intensification or heatwave development. The 31°C and 33°C outcomes capture residual forecast spread from steering patterns and localized convection, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to the low likelihood of significant deviation under current atmospheric moisture and wind regimes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Карачи 17 августа?
32°C 56%
31°C 25%
33°C 16%
30°C 4%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
56%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 25%
33°C 16%
30°C 4%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
56%
33°C
16%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-season cloud cover and light rainfall expected across Karachi on August 17 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds highest for a 32°C maximum (56.5%), consistent with Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather guidance showing highs near the 31–33°C range under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions reduce daytime solar heating compared with clearer pre-monsoon periods, aligning with climatological August averages of 31–32°C and recent model consensus that has held steady without signals of intensification or heatwave development. The 31°C and 33°C outcomes capture residual forecast spread from steering patterns and localized convection, while probabilities drop sharply outside this band due to the low likelihood of significant deviation under current atmospheric moisture and wind regimes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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