Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August Atlantic influences, including moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 21–22°C, with 20°C and 22°C as close secondary possibilities at 17.5% and 22.5%. No major shifts in high-pressure systems or warm-air advection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping extreme tails (above 24°C or below 18°C) below 3% combined. Updated forecasts over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 17 августа?
21°C 50%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
18%
21°C
50%
22°C
22%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 22%
20°C 18%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$122 Объем
<1%
17°C
$6 Объем
1%
18°C
$59 Объем
2%
19°C
$178 Объем
5%
20°C
$181 Объем
18%
21°C
$913 Объем
50%
22°C
$160 Объем
22%
23°C
$211 Объем
4%
24°C
$254 Объем
2%
25°C
$26 Объем
1%
26°C или выше
$131 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August Atlantic influences, including moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 21–22°C, with 20°C and 22°C as close secondary possibilities at 17.5% and 22.5%. No major shifts in high-pressure systems or warm-air advection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping extreme tails (above 24°C or below 18°C) below 3% combined. Updated forecasts over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Объем
$2,241Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August Atlantic influences, including moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 21–22°C, with 20°C and 22°C as close secondary possibilities at 17.5% and 22.5%. No major shifts in high-pressure systems or warm-air advection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping extreme tails (above 24°C or below 18°C) below 3% combined. Updated forecasts over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,241Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office points to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August Atlantic influences, including moderate westerly flow and limited solar heating under variable cloud cover, typically cap highs near the seasonal average of 21–22°C, with 20°C and 22°C as close secondary possibilities at 17.5% and 22.5%. No major shifts in high-pressure systems or warm-air advection have emerged in the latest runs, keeping extreme tails (above 24°C or below 18°C) below 3% combined. Updated forecasts over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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