Latest short-range model guidance from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to a Toronto high on August 16 clustered around 25–26 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, Lake Ontario lake-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-August climatology places the normal maximum near 25 °C, so current runs sit close to seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 25 °C and 26 °C captures residual model disagreement on peak insolation and any late-day stabilization, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant departures under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs expected overnight will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily official maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 16 августа?
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 17%
27°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
17%
25°C
34%
26°C
34%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 34%
24°C 17%
27°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$53 Объем
2%
23°C
$256 Объем
6%
24°C
$460 Объем
17%
25°C
$143 Объем
34%
26°C
$105 Объем
34%
27°C
$642 Объем
12%
28°C
$298 Объем
2%
29°C
$371 Объем
2%
30°C
$103 Объем
1%
31°C
$191 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model guidance from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to a Toronto high on August 16 clustered around 25–26 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, Lake Ontario lake-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-August climatology places the normal maximum near 25 °C, so current runs sit close to seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 25 °C and 26 °C captures residual model disagreement on peak insolation and any late-day stabilization, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant departures under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs expected overnight will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily official maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$3,792Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model guidance from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to a Toronto high on August 16 clustered around 25–26 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, Lake Ontario lake-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-August climatology places the normal maximum near 25 °C, so current runs sit close to seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 25 °C and 26 °C captures residual model disagreement on peak insolation and any late-day stabilization, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant departures under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs expected overnight will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily official maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,792Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model guidance from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to a Toronto high on August 16 clustered around 25–26 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, Lake Ontario lake-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing. Mid-August climatology places the normal maximum near 25 °C, so current runs sit close to seasonal norms without strong warm or cool anomalies. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 25 °C and 26 °C captures residual model disagreement on peak insolation and any late-day stabilization, while lower-probability tails reflect the low likelihood of significant departures under the prevailing synoptic pattern. Updated 00Z and 12Z runs expected overnight will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily official maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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