Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF for Paris on August 20 show daytime maxima clustering near 24–26 °C under increasing cloud cover and early showers, with a northwesterly flow limiting peak heating. This tight distribution explains the near-even split between the 24 °C (45 %) and 25 °C (47 %) contracts. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 20 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 20 августа?
24°C 46%
25°C 42%
26°C 9%
23°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
46%
25°C
42%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 42%
26°C 9%
23°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$60 Объем
<1%
20°C
$50 Объем
<1%
21°C
$46 Объем
<1%
22°C
$10 Объем
6%
23°C
$50 Объем
8%
24°C
$85 Объем
46%
25°C
$200 Объем
42%
26°C
$50 Объем
9%
27°C
$40 Объем
5%
28°C
$25 Объем
1%
29°C or higher
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF for Paris on August 20 show daytime maxima clustering near 24–26 °C under increasing cloud cover and early showers, with a northwesterly flow limiting peak heating. This tight distribution explains the near-even split between the 24 °C (45 %) and 25 °C (47 %) contracts. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$641Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF for Paris on August 20 show daytime maxima clustering near 24–26 °C under increasing cloud cover and early showers, with a northwesterly flow limiting peak heating. This tight distribution explains the near-even split between the 24 °C (45 %) and 25 °C (47 %) contracts. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$641Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF for Paris on August 20 show daytime maxima clustering near 24–26 °C under increasing cloud cover and early showers, with a northwesterly flow limiting peak heating. This tight distribution explains the near-even split between the 24 °C (45 %) and 25 °C (47 %) contracts. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress afternoon temperatures by 1–2 °C, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will narrow the range as steering patterns and convective timing become clearer.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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