Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected on August 20 are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling over Hong Kong, anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 27°C despite broader above-normal warmth this summer. High humidity and light easterly winds further limit heat loss, concentrating market-implied probabilities on 26–28°C outcomes. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and short-range models align on this pattern, with no major steering systems or clear-sky episodes indicated to drive cooler readings. Traders are thus pricing the typical August nocturnal range, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest hourly observation from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 20 августа?
27°C 42%
28°C 29%
26°C 27%
29°C 4%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 29%
26°C 27%
29°C 4%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
27%
27°C
42%
28°C
29%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected on August 20 are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling over Hong Kong, anchoring overnight minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 27°C despite broader above-normal warmth this summer. High humidity and light easterly winds further limit heat loss, concentrating market-implied probabilities on 26–28°C outcomes. Hong Kong Observatory seasonal guidance and short-range models align on this pattern, with no major steering systems or clear-sky episodes indicated to drive cooler readings. Traders are thus pricing the typical August nocturnal range, with resolution hinging on the precise lowest hourly observation from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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