**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in. Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 19 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 19 августа?
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
31%
30°C
40%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$291 Объем
<1%
24°C
$866 Объем
<1%
25°C
$419 Объем
1%
26°C
$413 Объем
2%
27°C
$409 Объем
3%
28°C
$500 Объем
11%
29°C
$430 Объем
31%
30°C
$357 Объем
40%
31°C
$321 Объем
17%
32°C
$250 Объем
4%
33°C or higher
$532 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in.
Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,790Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in.
Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,790Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in. Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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