Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services point to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 17 likely reaching 37–38°C, with trader-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over convective activity. Subtropical high humidity and the city's basin topography amplify daytime heating through reduced ventilation and urban heat retention, while scattered thundery showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Recent patterns show August highs typically 35–40°C, modulated by monsoon influences and short-term cloud cover that differentiate outcomes near the 36–39°C thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 17 августа?
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
36°C 14%
39°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
14%
37°C
37%
38°C
33%
39°C
11%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
36°C 14%
39°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 авг. 2026 г.
33°C or below
$333 Объем
1%
34°C
$17 Объем
2%
35°C
$12 Объем
5%
36°C
$430 Объем
14%
37°C
$891 Объем
37%
38°C
$375 Объем
33%
39°C
$175 Объем
11%
40°C
$561 Объем
2%
41°C
$204 Объем
1%
42°C
$16 Объем
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services point to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 17 likely reaching 37–38°C, with trader-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over convective activity. Subtropical high humidity and the city's basin topography amplify daytime heating through reduced ventilation and urban heat retention, while scattered thundery showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Recent patterns show August highs typically 35–40°C, modulated by monsoon influences and short-term cloud cover that differentiate outcomes near the 36–39°C thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Объем
$3,457Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services point to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 17 likely reaching 37–38°C, with trader-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over convective activity. Subtropical high humidity and the city's basin topography amplify daytime heating through reduced ventilation and urban heat retention, while scattered thundery showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Recent patterns show August highs typically 35–40°C, modulated by monsoon influences and short-term cloud cover that differentiate outcomes near the 36–39°C thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,457Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services point to peak temperatures in Chongqing on August 17 likely reaching 37–38°C, with trader-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over convective activity. Subtropical high humidity and the city's basin topography amplify daytime heating through reduced ventilation and urban heat retention, while scattered thundery showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Recent patterns show August highs typically 35–40°C, modulated by monsoon influences and short-term cloud cover that differentiate outcomes near the 36–39°C thresholds. Updated model runs and local observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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