Latest meteorological model consensus points to a maximum temperature near 27–28 °C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and sea-surface temperatures around 25 °C that moderate coastal readings. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns but sit slightly below the month’s 29–31 °C climatological average. Recent forecast updates have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C at 53.5 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for any intensification of onshore winds or clearer skies that could push readings into the upper 20s. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 22 августа?
27°C 54%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
54%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
27°C 54%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 6%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
54%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus points to a maximum temperature near 27–28 °C in Istanbul on August 22, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and sea-surface temperatures around 25 °C that moderate coastal readings. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns but sit slightly below the month’s 29–31 °C climatological average. Recent forecast updates have shown little day-to-day shift, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C at 53.5 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for any intensification of onshore winds or clearer skies that could push readings into the upper 20s. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Istanbul station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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