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icon for Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?

Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?

icon for Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?

Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?

авг. 23

авг. 31

авг. 23

авг. 31

≤6 24%

более 13 16%

9 12%

7 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

≤6 24%

более 13 16%

9 12%

7 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

≤6

$399 Объем

24%

7

$0 Объем

11%

8

$0 Объем

11%

9

$0 Объем

12%

10

$0 Объем

9%

11

$0 Объем

9%

12

$40 Объем

6%

13

$0 Объем

5%

более 13

$150 Объем

16%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismicity shows elevated rates following multiple magnitude 7+ events in Indonesia, Colombia, and elsewhere during August 2026, with USGS data confirming roughly 11 magnitude 7+ quakes year-to-date near the long-term annual average of 15–20. Worldwide, magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes typically average 10–15 per week under background tectonic conditions driven by plate boundaries, particularly subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire, though weekly counts exhibit high Poisson variability. Trader consensus, with ≤6 at 24% implied probability and >13 at 15.5%, reflects this uncertainty alongside ongoing aftershock potential from recent large ruptures, absent any new foreshock swarms or major stress transfers detectable by USGS monitoring ahead of the August 24–30 window.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Объем
$589
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismicity shows elevated rates following multiple magnitude 7+ events in Indonesia, Colombia, and elsewhere during August 2026, with USGS data confirming roughly 11 magnitude 7+ quakes year-to-date near the long-term annual average of 15–20. Worldwide, magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes typically average 10–15 per week under background tectonic conditions driven by plate boundaries, particularly subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire, though weekly counts exhibit high Poisson variability. Trader consensus, with ≤6 at 24% implied probability and >13 at 15.5%, reflects this uncertainty alongside ongoing aftershock potential from recent large ruptures, absent any new foreshock swarms or major stress transfers detectable by USGS monitoring ahead of the August 24–30 window.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Объем
$589
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «≤6» с 24%, за ним следует «более 13» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 24¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 21, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?» — «≤6» с 24%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Следующий ближайший исход — «более 13» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сколько 5,5 и выше землетрясений по всему миру 24 августа - 30 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.