Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 24 августа?
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
30°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
22%
32°C
37%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
30°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$1,100 Объем
<1%
26°C
$248 Объем
<1%
27°C
$5 Объем
1%
28°C
$0 Объем
1%
29°C
$8 Объем
3%
30°C
$48 Объем
7%
31°C
$7 Объем
22%
32°C
$53 Объем
37%
33°C
$31 Объем
23%
34°C
$16 Объем
7%
35°C or higher
$98 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,615Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,615Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with the market's leading 32°C outcome at 37% implied probability. Late-August climatology features average highs of 31°C amid the strengthening Pacific high, though increased cloud cover and precipitation chances are expected to moderate peaks below recent heatwave levels. Ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability, positioning 31–33°C as the highest-probability range while acknowledging typical model spread in urban heat-island effects and boundary-layer moisture.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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