Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 23 августа?
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
72-73°F 34%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 21%
76-77°F 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$31 Объем
2%
66-67°F
$31 Объем
4%
68-69°F
$251 Объем
7%
70-71°F
$352 Объем
21%
72-73°F
$205 Объем
34%
74-75°F
$286 Объем
24%
76-77°F
$496 Объем
13%
78-79°F
$140 Объем
5%
80-81°F
$228 Объем
1%
82-83°F
$20 Объем
<1%
84°F или выше
$35 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Объем
$2,075Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,075Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with a marine layer and onshore southwest winds limiting highs near 66-69°F for San Francisco on August 23, consistent with seasonal coastal cooling. Trader-implied odds favoring 72-73°F reflect uncertainty in marine layer strength, potential reductions in cloud cover, and variable wind patterns that could allow brief warming. Key variables include the timing and depth of fog or stratus, sea surface temperatures, and any inland heat advection; historical August highs average around 69°F but show day-to-day swings of 5-10°F depending on these factors. Upcoming model updates and morning observations will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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