Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 23 августа?
49°F или ниже 59%
68°F или выше 58%
58-59°F 53%
50-51°F 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
59%
50-51°F
50%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
47%
68°F или выше
58%
49°F или ниже 59%
68°F или выше 58%
58-59°F 53%
50-51°F 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
$10 Объем
59%
50-51°F
$20 Объем
50%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
26%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
26%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
34%
58-59°F
$13 Объем
35%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
27%
62-63°F
$0 Объем
24%
64-65°F
$5 Объем
23%
66-67°F
$5 Объем
47%
68°F или выше
$5 Объем
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$58Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$58Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate San Francisco overnight lows in the upper 50s on August 23, reflecting persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific. Cloud cover extent will modulate radiative cooling overnight, while variations in wind speed affect boundary layer mixing and dew point depression. Historical averages near 56°F provide context, yet model spread in exact minimum timing and local microclimates creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 56–59°F. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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