Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 25 августа?
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 32%
82–83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
51%
82–83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F или выше
<1%
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 32%
82–83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
71°F или ниже
$627 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$103 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$105 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$206 Объем
4%
78-79°F
$182 Объем
32%
80-81°F
$634 Объем
51%
82–83°F
$143 Объем
13%
84-85°F
$274 Объем
4%
86-87°F
$150 Объем
1%
88-89°F
$183 Объем
<1%
90°F или выше
$208 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$2,008Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,008Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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