Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 26 августа?
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
5%
22°C
33%
23°C
37%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
21°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$0 Объем
<1%
18°C
$5 Объем
<1%
19°C
$5 Объем
<1%
20°C
$148 Объем
4%
21°C
$90 Объем
5%
22°C
$58 Объем
33%
23°C
$63 Объем
37%
24°C
$35 Объем
25%
25°C
$28 Объем
4%
26°C
$5 Объем
3%
27°C or higher
$0 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$438Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$438Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from European and global ensembles currently cluster Warsaw's maximum temperature on August 26 near 22–24 °C, producing the tight market distribution across those three outcomes. Day-to-day differences arise primarily from uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any weak frontal passage; greater insolation under clearer skies could push the high toward 24 °C, while increased low-level stratus or light rain would cap readings at 22 °C or below. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and their spread, which still spans roughly 2 °C. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average near 23 °C, providing context but little additional signal this close to the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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