Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a minimum temperature near 11–13°C in Warsaw overnight on August 26, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 7 mph, and dry conditions that permit moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime. This aligns with climatological August lows averaging 13°C while incorporating short-term guidance showing modest overnight cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because small variations in wind speed, humidity levels, or exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions can shift the low by 1–2°C, with historical analogs and ensemble spreads highlighting the narrow range of plausible results ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 26 августа?
11°C 30%
12°C 27%
13°C 26%
10°C 21%
7°C or below
4%
8°C
7%
9°C
10%
10°C
21%
11°C
30%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
8%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
3%
11°C 30%
12°C 27%
13°C 26%
10°C 21%
7°C or below
4%
8°C
7%
9°C
10%
10°C
21%
11°C
30%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
8%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to a minimum temperature near 11–13°C in Warsaw overnight on August 26, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds around 7 mph, and dry conditions that permit moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime. This aligns with climatological August lows averaging 13°C while incorporating short-term guidance showing modest overnight cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation to retain heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because small variations in wind speed, humidity levels, or exact timing of any high-cloud intrusions can shift the low by 1–2°C, with historical analogs and ensemble spreads highlighting the narrow range of plausible results ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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