Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 26 августа?
13°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,782 Объем
$2,782 Объем
9°C или ниже
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Да
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C или выше
Нет
13°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,782 Объем
$2,782 Объем
9°C или ниже
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Да
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official meteorological observations from stations across Mexico City, including those tracked by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, recorded a minimum temperature of 13.2°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event model consensus under clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions that permitted standard radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. This outcome reflects typical late-August patterns, where minimums often settle near 12–14°C absent strong cold fronts or heavy precipitation, and trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 13°C incorporates the high reliability of surface station data used for market resolution. Uncertainties such as microclimate variations at specific reporting sites or post-event data revisions remain possible but would require atypical discrepancies beyond historical norms to shift the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы