Recent official forecasts and ensemble models for Beijing on August 31 project a daytime high of 28–30°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light northeast winds and minimal moisture limiting convective heating. This follows a warmer Sunday peak near 31–32°C as high pressure builds and northerly flow moderates temperatures from recent late-August averages of 29–30°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 30°C outcome leading at 38% implied probability, aligns with this narrow range, while 29°C and 31°C hold meaningful shares due to typical model spread and diurnal variability. The Beijing Meteorological Service or equivalent official observation at the primary station will resolve the market; updated runs overnight and on the 30th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 31 августа?
30°C 50%
31°C 26%
29°C 20%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
50%
31°C
26%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 26%
29°C 20%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
50%
31°C
26%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble models for Beijing on August 31 project a daytime high of 28–30°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light northeast winds and minimal moisture limiting convective heating. This follows a warmer Sunday peak near 31–32°C as high pressure builds and northerly flow moderates temperatures from recent late-August averages of 29–30°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 30°C outcome leading at 38% implied probability, aligns with this narrow range, while 29°C and 31°C hold meaningful shares due to typical model spread and diurnal variability. The Beijing Meteorological Service or equivalent official observation at the primary station will resolve the market; updated runs overnight and on the 30th remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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