Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly flow over Beijing on August 31, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C and supporting overnight lows clustered around 18–20°C. Recent northerly shifts have reinforced this pattern following a brief cool spell late in the month, aligning with the climatological average minimum of 19.4°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities peak at 18–19°C because ensemble spreads and local urban heat-island effects create uncertainty in the precise minimum, with lower outcomes (16°C) still plausible under stronger winds or clearer skies. New high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 31 августа?
16°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
15°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
48%
16°C
49%
17°C
18%
18°C
31%
19°C
30%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C or higher
2%
16°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
15°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$0 Объем
1%
14°C
$0 Объем
9%
15°C
$0 Объем
48%
16°C
$0 Объем
49%
17°C
$0 Объем
18%
18°C
$0 Объем
31%
19°C
$0 Объем
30%
20°C
$0 Объем
25%
21°C
$0 Объем
49%
22°C
$0 Объем
49%
23°C or higher
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly flow over Beijing on August 31, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C and supporting overnight lows clustered around 18–20°C. Recent northerly shifts have reinforced this pattern following a brief cool spell late in the month, aligning with the climatological average minimum of 19.4°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities peak at 18–19°C because ensemble spreads and local urban heat-island effects create uncertainty in the precise minimum, with lower outcomes (16°C) still plausible under stronger winds or clearer skies. New high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly flow over Beijing on August 31, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C and supporting overnight lows clustered around 18–20°C. Recent northerly shifts have reinforced this pattern following a brief cool spell late in the month, aligning with the climatological average minimum of 19.4°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities peak at 18–19°C because ensemble spreads and local urban heat-island effects create uncertainty in the precise minimum, with lower outcomes (16°C) still plausible under stronger winds or clearer skies. New high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly flow over Beijing on August 31, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31°C and supporting overnight lows clustered around 18–20°C. Recent northerly shifts have reinforced this pattern following a brief cool spell late in the month, aligning with the climatological average minimum of 19.4°C for the date. Market-implied probabilities peak at 18–19°C because ensemble spreads and local urban heat-island effects create uncertainty in the precise minimum, with lower outcomes (16°C) still plausible under stronger winds or clearer skies. New high-resolution runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates will refine the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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