Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43.5%), 25°C (28%), and 23°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical for late August in the Valley of Mexico at 2,240 meters elevation—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August highs average near 23–24°C, with rain occurring on over 15 days on average. Updated model runs showing continued moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf support this narrow range, though any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 26°C or higher, a lower-probability scenario priced at just 5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 31 августа?
24°C 43%
25°C 30%
23°C 26%
26°C или выше 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
26%
24°C
43%
25°C
30%
26°C или выше
8%
24°C 43%
25°C 30%
23°C 26%
26°C или выше 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
<1%
17°C
$0 Объем
<1%
18°C
$0 Объем
2%
19°C
$0 Объем
3%
20°C
$0 Объем
2%
21°C
$0 Объем
7%
22°C
$9 Объем
7%
23°C
$23 Объем
26%
24°C
$28 Объем
43%
25°C
$144 Объем
30%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43.5%), 25°C (28%), and 23°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical for late August in the Valley of Mexico at 2,240 meters elevation—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August highs average near 23–24°C, with rain occurring on over 15 days on average. Updated model runs showing continued moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf support this narrow range, though any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 26°C or higher, a lower-probability scenario priced at just 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$195Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43.5%), 25°C (28%), and 23°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical for late August in the Valley of Mexico at 2,240 meters elevation—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August highs average near 23–24°C, with rain occurring on over 15 days on average. Updated model runs showing continued moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf support this narrow range, though any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 26°C or higher, a lower-probability scenario priced at just 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$195Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31 most likely between 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes of 24°C (43.5%), 25°C (28%), and 23°C (27%). Persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70–90%, and scattered thunderstorms—typical for late August in the Valley of Mexico at 2,240 meters elevation—limit daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical August highs average near 23–24°C, with rain occurring on over 15 days on average. Updated model runs showing continued moisture advection from the Pacific and Gulf support this narrow range, though any unexpected clearing could push readings toward 26°C or higher, a lower-probability scenario priced at just 5%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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