Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a daily high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical maxima range 30–33°C amid moderate instability and scattered showers. The market's strong weighting toward 32°C (57.5%) reflects this model consensus, while probabilities for 31°C or 33°C capture remaining uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine these implied odds as the date approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 30 августа?
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
30°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
57%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
30°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$53 Объем
<1%
27°C
$35 Объем
<1%
28°C
$182 Объем
<1%
29°C
$119 Объем
1%
30°C
$120 Объем
4%
31°C
$224 Объем
21%
32°C
$1,045 Объем
57%
33°C
$200 Объем
18%
34°C
$80 Объем
4%
35°C
$0 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$74 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a daily high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical maxima range 30–33°C amid moderate instability and scattered showers. The market's strong weighting toward 32°C (57.5%) reflects this model consensus, while probabilities for 31°C or 33°C capture remaining uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine these implied odds as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,133Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a daily high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical maxima range 30–33°C amid moderate instability and scattered showers. The market's strong weighting toward 32°C (57.5%) reflects this model consensus, while probabilities for 31°C or 33°C capture remaining uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine these implied odds as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,133Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a daily high near 32°C for Shanghai on August 30, driven by persistent southeast winds, high humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical maxima range 30–33°C amid moderate instability and scattered showers. The market's strong weighting toward 32°C (57.5%) reflects this model consensus, while probabilities for 31°C or 33°C capture remaining uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine these implied odds as the date approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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