Trader consensus in the Shenzhen highest-temperature market centers on forecast guidance showing widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms on August 30 that will limit daytime heating. Multiple model runs and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlight persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon, producing high humidity and scattered convective showers that reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks. This setup favors 30–31 °C outcomes over clearer-sky scenarios that would allow 32 °C or higher, while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects lingering uncertainty in exact rain timing and coverage. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and local radar trends through the evening of August 29 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 30 августа?
31°C 34%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
30%
31°C
34%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$450 Объем
<1%
26°C
$868 Объем
<1%
27°C
$320 Объем
2%
28°C
$191 Объем
3%
29°C
$561 Объем
13%
30°C
$1,079 Объем
30%
31°C
$291 Объем
34%
32°C
$671 Объем
16%
33°C
$361 Объем
6%
34°C
$412 Объем
3%
35°C or higher
$280 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Shenzhen highest-temperature market centers on forecast guidance showing widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms on August 30 that will limit daytime heating. Multiple model runs and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlight persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon, producing high humidity and scattered convective showers that reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks. This setup favors 30–31 °C outcomes over clearer-sky scenarios that would allow 32 °C or higher, while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects lingering uncertainty in exact rain timing and coverage. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and local radar trends through the evening of August 29 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$5,487Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Shenzhen highest-temperature market centers on forecast guidance showing widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms on August 30 that will limit daytime heating. Multiple model runs and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlight persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon, producing high humidity and scattered convective showers that reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks. This setup favors 30–31 °C outcomes over clearer-sky scenarios that would allow 32 °C or higher, while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects lingering uncertainty in exact rain timing and coverage. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and local radar trends through the evening of August 29 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,487Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Shenzhen highest-temperature market centers on forecast guidance showing widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms on August 30 that will limit daytime heating. Multiple model runs and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlight persistent moisture from the East Asian monsoon, producing high humidity and scattered convective showers that reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks. This setup favors 30–31 °C outcomes over clearer-sky scenarios that would allow 32 °C or higher, while the narrow spread between leading probabilities reflects lingering uncertainty in exact rain timing and coverage. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and local radar trends through the evening of August 29 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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