Recent weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 30, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 25–26°C. This aligns with late-August subtropical patterns where humidity above 85% and light winds moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical minima averaging 25–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 26°C as the low, incorporates these data while acknowledging forecast divergence that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on rainfall intensity and timing. New model runs expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria around official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 30 августа?
26°C 53%
30°C 49%
31°C 49%
33°C or higher 47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
13%
24°C
26%
25°C
38%
26°C
53%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C
49%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
47%
26°C 53%
30°C 49%
31°C 49%
33°C or higher 47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$16 Объем
13%
24°C
$0 Объем
26%
25°C
$0 Объем
38%
26°C
$0 Объем
53%
27°C
$0 Объем
26%
28°C
$0 Объем
26%
29°C
$0 Объем
25%
30°C
$10 Объем
49%
31°C
$10 Объем
49%
32°C
$5 Объем
22%
33°C or higher
$5 Объем
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 30, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 25–26°C. This aligns with late-August subtropical patterns where humidity above 85% and light winds moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical minima averaging 25–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 26°C as the low, incorporates these data while acknowledging forecast divergence that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on rainfall intensity and timing. New model runs expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria around official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$46Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 30, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 25–26°C. This aligns with late-August subtropical patterns where humidity above 85% and light winds moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical minima averaging 25–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 26°C as the low, incorporates these data while acknowledging forecast divergence that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on rainfall intensity and timing. New model runs expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria around official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$46Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international forecasters indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Shenzhen on August 30, limiting radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 25–26°C. This aligns with late-August subtropical patterns where humidity above 85% and light winds moderate temperature drops, consistent with historical minima averaging 25–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 26°C as the low, incorporates these data while acknowledging forecast divergence that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C depending on rainfall intensity and timing. New model runs expected overnight will likely refine resolution criteria around official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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