**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington today, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability.** Northwesterly winds and mostly fine conditions support modest daytime warming above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, with hourly observations and short-range guidance showing peaks near this threshold without exceeding it. Minor model spread exists around 14–16°C, but official monitoring criteria and current trends align closely with 15°C resolution. Only an unexpected rapid southerly change or station-specific microclimate deviation would realistically alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 29 августа?
15°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$67,164 Объем
$67,164 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$67,164 Объем
$67,164 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$900 Объем
<1%
10°C
$2,860 Объем
<1%
11°C
$345 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,050 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,426 Объем
<1%
14°C
$22,798 Объем
<1%
15°C
$9,529 Объем
100%
16°C
$10,209 Объем
1%
17°C
$9,270 Объем
<1%
18°C
$6,529 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,249 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington today, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability.**
Northwesterly winds and mostly fine conditions support modest daytime warming above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, with hourly observations and short-range guidance showing peaks near this threshold without exceeding it. Minor model spread exists around 14–16°C, but official monitoring criteria and current trends align closely with 15°C resolution. Only an unexpected rapid southerly change or station-specific microclimate deviation would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$67,164Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington today, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability.**
Northwesterly winds and mostly fine conditions support modest daytime warming above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, with hourly observations and short-range guidance showing peaks near this threshold without exceeding it. Minor model spread exists around 14–16°C, but official monitoring criteria and current trends align closely with 15°C resolution. Only an unexpected rapid southerly change or station-specific microclimate deviation would realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$67,164Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from MetService and global models points to a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington today, driving the overwhelming market-implied probability.** Northwesterly winds and mostly fine conditions support modest daytime warming above the late-August climatological average of roughly 12°C, with hourly observations and short-range guidance showing peaks near this threshold without exceeding it. Minor model spread exists around 14–16°C, but official monitoring criteria and current trends align closely with 15°C resolution. Only an unexpected rapid southerly change or station-specific microclimate deviation would realistically alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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