Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 31 will likely settle near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered rain or thunderstorms linked to the regional monsoon pattern. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs to around 30–32°C, aligning with the historical average low of 25.1°C and recent days' observed minima. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the overnight minimum by 1°C, with updated model guidance and official observations from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 31 августа?
23°C 46%
21°C or below 42%
24°C 42%
26°C 42%
21°C or below
42%
22°C
29%
23°C
46%
24°C
42%
25°C
35%
26°C
42%
27°C
25%
28°C
24%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
41%
23°C 46%
21°C or below 42%
24°C 42%
26°C 42%
21°C or below
42%
22°C
29%
23°C
46%
24°C
42%
25°C
35%
26°C
42%
27°C
25%
28°C
24%
29°C
21%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on August 31 will likely settle near 25–26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered rain or thunderstorms linked to the regional monsoon pattern. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs to around 30–32°C, aligning with the historical average low of 25.1°C and recent days' observed minima. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–27°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind patterns could tip the overnight minimum by 1°C, with updated model guidance and official observations from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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