Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity across Guangzhou are moderating radiative cooling overnight, anchoring trader consensus around a 27°C low for August 30. Official forecasts from regional models show overnight minima in the 25–27°C range under near-saturated conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light variable winds, limiting temperature drops compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C. Elevated moisture from ongoing monsoon flow reduces diurnal range while raising the floor, with 27°C capturing the central tendency across ensembles; lower outcomes require stronger nocturnal clearing not currently indicated, while higher readings would need suppressed precipitation and greater insolation retention. Updated model runs and next-day surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 30 августа?
32°C or higher 60%
27°C 51%
23°C 50%
28°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
50%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
50%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
60%
32°C or higher 60%
27°C 51%
23°C 50%
28°C 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$16 Объем
<1%
23°C
$16 Объем
50%
24°C
$0 Объем
25%
25°C
$0 Объем
27%
26°C
$0 Объем
27%
27°C
$19 Объем
32%
28°C
$16 Объем
50%
29°C
$10 Объем
50%
30°C
$10 Объем
50%
31°C
$5 Объем
45%
32°C or higher
$5 Объем
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity across Guangzhou are moderating radiative cooling overnight, anchoring trader consensus around a 27°C low for August 30. Official forecasts from regional models show overnight minima in the 25–27°C range under near-saturated conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light variable winds, limiting temperature drops compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C. Elevated moisture from ongoing monsoon flow reduces diurnal range while raising the floor, with 27°C capturing the central tendency across ensembles; lower outcomes require stronger nocturnal clearing not currently indicated, while higher readings would need suppressed precipitation and greater insolation retention. Updated model runs and next-day surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$97Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity across Guangzhou are moderating radiative cooling overnight, anchoring trader consensus around a 27°C low for August 30. Official forecasts from regional models show overnight minima in the 25–27°C range under near-saturated conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light variable winds, limiting temperature drops compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C. Elevated moisture from ongoing monsoon flow reduces diurnal range while raising the floor, with 27°C capturing the central tendency across ensembles; lower outcomes require stronger nocturnal clearing not currently indicated, while higher readings would need suppressed precipitation and greater insolation retention. Updated model runs and next-day surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$97Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity across Guangzhou are moderating radiative cooling overnight, anchoring trader consensus around a 27°C low for August 30. Official forecasts from regional models show overnight minima in the 25–27°C range under near-saturated conditions (dew points near 25°C) and light variable winds, limiting temperature drops compared to clearer historical analogs averaging 25.1°C. Elevated moisture from ongoing monsoon flow reduces diurnal range while raising the floor, with 27°C capturing the central tendency across ensembles; lower outcomes require stronger nocturnal clearing not currently indicated, while higher readings would need suppressed precipitation and greater insolation retention. Updated model runs and next-day surface observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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