Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 31, aligning with historical August averages of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover and showers associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling while light winds reduce mixing, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in this narrow band. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlooks shows limited day-to-day shifts, with slight variations arising from exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–15°C, as traders weigh the narrow scientific range against potential forecast adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 31 августа?
7°C или ниже 53%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
53%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C или выше
47%
7°C или ниже 53%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
16°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
53%
8°C
$75 Объем
2%
9°C
$75 Объем
4%
10°C
$0 Объем
49%
11°C
$0 Объем
49%
12°C
$0 Объем
26%
13°C
$0 Объем
27%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$0 Объем
27%
16°C
$0 Объем
49%
17°C или выше
$0 Объем
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 31, aligning with historical August averages of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover and showers associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling while light winds reduce mixing, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in this narrow band. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlooks shows limited day-to-day shifts, with slight variations arising from exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–15°C, as traders weigh the narrow scientific range against potential forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$150Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 31, aligning with historical August averages of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover and showers associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling while light winds reduce mixing, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in this narrow band. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlooks shows limited day-to-day shifts, with slight variations arising from exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–15°C, as traders weigh the narrow scientific range against potential forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$150Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City indicate overnight lows near 12–14°C on August 31, aligning with historical August averages of roughly 12–13°C at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Cloud cover and showers associated with the ongoing rainy season limit radiative cooling while light winds reduce mixing, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in this narrow band. Model consensus from sources such as WeatherBug and local outlooks shows limited day-to-day shifts, with slight variations arising from exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks. This uncertainty underpins the closely matched market-implied odds around 12–15°C, as traders weigh the narrow scientific range against potential forecast adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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