Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily minimum of 13–15 °C for Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest spreads in overnight lows due to variable rainfall timing and localized wind patterns, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14 °C. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, with clearer skies or lighter winds favoring the lower end of the range while sustained moisture and cloud decks push readings toward 13–14 °C. Hourly observations and updated CONAGUA guidance through the evening will resolve the exact threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 29 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 29 августа?
13°C 45%
12°C 3%
11°C 2%
15°C <1%
$895 Объем
$895 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
45%
14°C
40%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 3%
11°C 2%
15°C <1%
$895 Объем
$895 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$135 Объем
<1%
10°C
$84 Объем
<1%
11°C
$49 Объем
2%
12°C
$17 Объем
3%
13°C
$0 Объем
45%
14°C
$2 Объем
40%
15°C
$314 Объем
1%
16°C
$112 Объем
<1%
17°C
$84 Объем
<1%
18°C
$30 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$67 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily minimum of 13–15 °C for Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest spreads in overnight lows due to variable rainfall timing and localized wind patterns, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14 °C. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, with clearer skies or lighter winds favoring the lower end of the range while sustained moisture and cloud decks push readings toward 13–14 °C. Hourly observations and updated CONAGUA guidance through the evening will resolve the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$895Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily minimum of 13–15 °C for Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest spreads in overnight lows due to variable rainfall timing and localized wind patterns, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14 °C. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, with clearer skies or lighter winds favoring the lower end of the range while sustained moisture and cloud decks push readings toward 13–14 °C. Hourly observations and updated CONAGUA guidance through the evening will resolve the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$895Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily minimum of 13–15 °C for Mexico City on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain and thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest spreads in overnight lows due to variable rainfall timing and localized wind patterns, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14 °C. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, with clearer skies or lighter winds favoring the lower end of the range while sustained moisture and cloud decks push readings toward 13–14 °C. Hourly observations and updated CONAGUA guidance through the evening will resolve the exact threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы