Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a moderating trend after prolonged intense heat, with model consensus pointing to a daily high near 31–33°C on August 29 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. The shift follows the end of a record-setting 40-day Sanfu period, the fifth-warmest since 1961, as peripheral influences from approaching systems begin to enhance moisture and reduce insolation. Ensemble guidance varies on exact peak timing and rainfall efficiency, creating tight market clustering around 32–33°C outcomes while highlighting sensitivity to short-term convective development and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 29 августа?
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
31°C 21%
34°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
31°C 21%
34°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a moderating trend after prolonged intense heat, with model consensus pointing to a daily high near 31–33°C on August 29 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and northerly winds of 10–20 km/h. The shift follows the end of a record-setting 40-day Sanfu period, the fifth-warmest since 1961, as peripheral influences from approaching systems begin to enhance moisture and reduce insolation. Ensemble guidance varies on exact peak timing and rainfall efficiency, creating tight market clustering around 32–33°C outcomes while highlighting sensitivity to short-term convective development and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы